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Nor'easter Bears Down on Ocean City

Warnings for coastal flooding and high winds are in effect.

 

A strong coastal storm is expected to batter Ocean City on Wednesday and Thursday.

The National Weather Service has issued warning for high winds and coastal flooding. The storm will provide the first real test of Ocean City's eroded beaches and the sand berms created as a stopgap measure to replace dune systems wiped out by Superstorm Sandy on Oct. 29.

Weather conditions are expected to deteriorate throughout Wednesday with rain, wind and tide levels increasing to a peak at about 4 a.m. Thursday morning.

THE FORECAST: Heavy rain is expected throughout Wednesday (high near 42 degrees) with east winds gusting as high as 50 to 60 mph. The rain and wind will continue Wednesday night. Though the low temperature is predicted to remain above freezing, a small amount of accumulating snow is possible. Rain is expected to continue on Thursday.

WARNINGS: A "Coastal Flood Warning" is in effect from 1 a.m. to 8 a.m. Thursday. The forecast warns of road closings, dune breaches and possible property damage to vulnerable structures. A "High Wind Warning" is in effect from 7 a.m. Wednesday to 5 a.m. Thursday. It predicts sustained northeast winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The forecast warns of the potential for downed power lines and electrical outages.

WHEN ARE HIGH TIDES IN OCEAN CITY? The lesser will be at 3:29 p.m. Wednesday and the greater at 4:05 a.m. Thursday (on the bay side of Ocean City at the Ninth Street Bridge).

HOW BAD WILL IT REALLY BE? The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) tide level forecast for Atlantic City (check it here) calls for a tide level approaching 8 feet (mean low water) in the wee hours of Thursday morning. On the same MLW scale: Superstorm Sandy tide level reached 10.02 feet in Ocean City; the November 2009 nor'easter in Ocean City reached 8.02 feet; and Tuesday's highest tide reached a little over 4 feet. (Check Ocean City tide levels in real time.) The Wednesday afternoon high tide is forecast to be less than 6 feet in Atlantic City.

WHAT ABOUT DAN? Because we trust NBC40 meteorologist Dan Skeldon's knowledge of local conditions, we always like to check in. He's sticking pretty much to script (with other forecasters) on this one. More a flooding event than a snowy one for the coast. "Now I can't stress this enough that this will fall WELL short of Sandy's record levels back in October," Skeldon predicts. "But do expect road closures and widespread flooding along our shore and back bay communities Wednesday night and early Thursday morning." He said at least minor tidal flooding could stick around through the Friday afternoon high tide as the storm moves away slowly.

WHAT TO DO: Definitely move cars from flood-prone streets to high ground. The city posted the following: "Residents are advised to remove or secure loose objects on porches and around properties in anticipation of high winds. Contractors are requested to properly secure all work sites and remove all loose debris and materials that may become a problem in the event of high winds or flooding. Residents, visitors and property owners are advised to closely monitor weather conditions and forecasts for the next 24 hours."

WHAT'S BEEN DONE? Ocean City Public Works Department crews spent two days working to shore up sand berms on the south end of the island and other areas where dune systems were wiped out by Superstorm Sandy on Oct. 29. 

Related Topics: Hurricane Sandy, Ocean City Storms, and Ocean City weather

Bob

7:26 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Not trying to downplay this, but since the Patch reaches more people outside of the town than any other news outlet in the past, nor'easters like this are pretty typical and a way of life at the shore in the winter. I'm sure we'll still see hysterics here in the comment section, however.

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Pat

8:51 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

So true....Nor Easters are a way of life at the shore....compared to Sandy.....this ain't nuthin!

Gene

9:45 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Sandy weakened dune structures and changed the tidal levels in the bay , so the patch is correct in its level of concern .

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Eric Sauder

2:43 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Not only that it took a heck of a lot of sand from our beaches.

vic

10:13 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

the ocean roared through the openings that ocean city had in it's dune system during sandy, because we have ramps going from the boardwalk to the beach. other municipalities build their walkways over the dunes, we leave openings in the dunes for ours. if we are going to have dunes to protect us, why do we purposely have openings in them?

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Bob

10:56 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Vic,

Walkways cost money and they would have to be handicap accessible. Certaintly do-able, but it's going to cost money. Public works is a lot smaller than it use to be through attrition, so it would either take a long time or have to be sub-contracted out (would cost more money).

Gene,
All of Ocean City's beaches were in worst shape in the early 90s when several big nor'easters rolled through. Back then, there were no dunes in the south end and waves were under the boardwalk during regular high tides. Not that this isn't going to beat the beaches up - it certaintly will, but people need not freak out. Additionally, tidal levels have not changed. The only thing that would impact that is if the island sunk.

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ken

10:59 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

no freaking out here. just want a response to our request of the city to provide a viable, well articulated plan for the southend beaches. one would think this is not too much to ask. city planners, usually plan.

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EXiT REALTY OCEAN CITY

11:04 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

I agree with Bob, we don’t want to downplay the potential of a really bad storm. But, Philadelphia TV is doing the opposite. They are making this storm out to be much worse then it probably will be. I just wish that all owners and tenants get through this without any more damage to their properties.
Joseph Landicini, Broker 1301 West A-1 OCNJ 609.525.9901 Ext 14

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Kenneth P.

11:10 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Bob -- the island is sinking - New Jersey is sinking and who cares what happened in the 90s how is that relevant? What is relevant is that the waves are no longer under the boardwalk because of beach replenishment - but there are STILL no dunes in the south end (if you want to call little piles of sand, dunes you may but I don't) There is sea level rise so tides have changed. In 2011 the Administration was made aware of the beach erosion in the south end. They did nothing. In 2012 - Sept. the administration was presented with a petition from south end property owners, and they did nothing. I think the time is past for anyone to avoid freaking out - but thanks for your great advice anyway.

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Bob

11:36 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Kenneth,

It's relevent because sea level rise over 20 years is not enough to notice any significant change in regards to events like this. It is rising, yes, but we're talking a change of 3" from 1990 to 2010 (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=8534720 (1mm = .039"). Seriously, go on the beach with a ruler. Take a level straight edge from 3" and extend landward - tell me how far you go before it contacts land (not very). Do the same on a bulkhead. Measure 3". That's the difference, hardly any in the grand scheme of things. That's why it's relevant.

Do the science. The data is out there for free. You can download hourly tide data going back from Atlantic City for 50+ years. Use Excel and programs like SAS and do the statistics. There has been somewhat higher frequency over '05-'10 as far as higher tides go, but this is linked to storm frequency as well vs. other periods of time (which is natural). It's a very complex process with a lot of confounding factors and goes well beyond any single person's knowledge. It takes a villiage of scientists and researchers.

And what is the administration going to do from 2011 to now? It's sitting in Washington, not on their desks. Everyone lives in a bubble and sees tings on small scales. It's a really big country and there are a lot of people wanting a piece of the pie. Two years is nothing when dealing with massive federally funded projects

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Bob

11:43 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Arguing on the internet is a waste of time, and I honestly, you won't convince everyone. Why I reply is that a lot of people who don't live on the island year round read this. That's not a bad thing, they should be informed. What I take offense to is people spouting off in the comments section with little knowledge of what they're talking about. To those reading, these people don't represenent the majority in town, or know the full story on everything, so don't rely on it to get the pulse on the town. Get your information from the articles Doug writes, as well as other print media outlets (ignore tv news). Talk to people who live and have lived here for years. My 2 cents.

ken

11:44 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

they had an option to add the southend on to the northend project last fall, and said, "no". this is documented and the truth. atlantic city is now getting another replenishment after an $18 million project last march. their beaches are not as eroded as the southend. if you can not rely on your local officials to do what it takes to get this done- who do you rely on? numerous people have been told verbally and emailed that the city has moved slowly and is behind with this. those are the facts.

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ken

11:46 am on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

and lastly, the city needs to stop telling everyone that the beaches will be bigger and better. that is not true. just be honest. make a plan and execute it. everything is in reaction mode. that is a sign of poor planning.

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ken

12:00 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

bob, we live here, too. we do not have to agree with you. you seem to want all to believe that you are the information source for ocean city. we have done our research as well. there is nothing i have written that is not documented. i would say that siting dr stewart farrell from stockton college as an expert as we have done, is utilizing a knowledgeable source.

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Kenneth P.

1:00 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Bob you have a lot of nerve! Do you have property in the south end of Ocean City at risk right now, as we do? If not, why don't you keep your comments to a minium, because you are the one who is out of line here. What did the administration do from 2011 until now - NOTHING. What could they have done? They could have added on the south end to the north end project. That is a fact - yes. Not only did they not do that, they did not even investigate the costs. Would they have ignored this problem if it had been in the north end where the business/boardwalk people rule? Never in a million years. There always has been discrimination in this town. Our roads and drainage problems have been ignored. If you do not have property in the south end, I wouldn't bother trying to be a cheerleader for the administration about this - because you have no standing in this matter and you are just plain wrong. This isn't a majority, minority opinion issue. This isn't an opinion - if anyone from out of town would like to see for themselves - go take a look at the south end beaches and judge with your own eyes then look at the north end beaches - this isn't rocket science, Bob. If you are the PR rep for Ocean City, you have a problem. We have no beaches and no matter how you present this to the public, it is an Ocean City problem.

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Gene

1:29 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Bob
Water finds its level but not before surge occurs during times of long wind fetch and high tide. Pecks bay is significantly less capable of absorbing the surge due to sikt from egg harbor river and pumping that ended up in the bay after sandy, so prior to the (storm) water moving up the egg harbor river etc. it surges in the back bay. The scuppers on the sewers don't work so thar surge comes up though the Drains. Even on just a full moon The ocean has risen 2 inches since the halloween storm. Not the issye. Dunes that can withstand three days of erosion along with dredging the bay and fixing the drainage and raising houses is what's needed .

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Silver Mariposa

2:09 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

For a non-hyped weather report for the South Jersey Shore, please see/follow Dan Skeldon, our local weather guy; www.facebook.com/TheOfficialDanSkeldonPage or @DanSkeldonNBC40 He tells it like it is! Thanks Dan!

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Eric Sauder

2:56 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

How are things on the south end? We're about an hour from high tide. I wanted to go see how high the water is on my beach but the conditions outside are dampening my curiousity.

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Eric Sauder

3:29 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Bob I can appreciate your point of view but I don’t know how significant data is prior to Sandy. There’s a new reality here. I was up on the north end and the geo tubes are exposed. Standing on the beach next to them they’re taller than I am. That’s how much sand was lost to Sandy. You can also see it on the south end where the dunes were destroyed and homes were flooded. And I didn’t think about the fact that the amount of sand lost affected all of our beaches until I went for a walk in mine yesterday. In retrospect I should have. It’s not like a storm the size of Sandy will discriminate, taking sand from one beach and leaving it at another.

The only way we have to remedy the loss of sand is to do beach replenishment. The entire island needs it. The north end is getting beach replenishment but the south end needs it too. Because it’s been neglected for so long the south end lost sand it didn’t have to lose. And why it hasn't gotten beach replenishment and what to do about it is important to those who are understandably anxious over when they're going to get flooded again. I know what that's like. When I left the island prior to Irene and Sandy I was worried there would be nothing left to come home to.

I’m gonna go brave the weather and take a look.

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Eric Sauder

4:09 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Looks like we're going to survive the first high tide. I was at the south end and the ocean is part way up the berm at places but it has a long way to go before breaking thru. Action News is down there filming. It is impressive though. Standing near the berms there's heavy surf 10 to 15 yards away. It feels like the wind is starting to shift more out of the north northwest.

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Southender

4:29 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Once again I have more loose sand to cleanup at my beachfront house as a result of the city making a million mounds of LOOSE sand that are simply blowing away in this wind. These "burms" should be packed and tamped down to be effective. I fail to see the "added" protection that this exercise is offering, as "if" a wave is strong enough to hit them they will simply be washed away instantly....

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DSA

6:16 pm on Wednesday, March 6, 2013

would you rather there be nothing there??

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